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Rwanda Beat #COVID-19 Hands Down But At A Very High Cost

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Rwanda is quietly emerging out of the lockdown as one of the leading in Africa and globally for successfully beating the #Covid-19 pandemic hands down.

The Rwandan 45-day total lockdown described as Africa’s most strict but with deterrent measures yielded what amounted to impressive results on the country’s economy.

One of the measures instituted early enough that served to flatten the curve of the pandemic and stopped the virus on its tracks from spreading in Rwanda was a total freeze from operations of its fledgling aviation sector.

The sector handles more than 800,000 passengers annually from its hub at Kigali International Airport. Policy makers singled it out as the primary importer of the virus into the country.

Consequently, Rwanda moved with speed and totally grounded operations of its nascent national carrier RwandAir in a move that saw its fleet of brand new aircraft the youngest in East Africa marooned to the tarmac of the Kigali International Airport.

What followed to the dismay of the local business community was shutting down of Rwanda’s borders another conduit of importing and spreading the virus from neighbouring countries.

Kigali city; considered a promising metropolis with a rapidly emerging recreation sector went into a complete halt of its key economic activities.

For instance, the city’s entertainment hot spots were grounded to a screeching halt. Residents were ordered to get into hibernation mode and to operate from their homes. Public transported was effectively grounded.

In particular the popular motorcycle taxi operators considered a cost effective way of moving people in the economy was totally banned from operating apart of offering goods operations.

The city’s young and restless considered a segment of Rwanda’s population that have not seen the dark side of country’s past, were puzzled by the new moves as bars and all major entertainment spots were ordered completely shut down.

Owners of such outlets that were known to rake in billions of Rwandans francs especially during weekends watched in shock and in silence as their businesses went kaput.

The treatment was meted out without mercy to the city’s spiritual entrepreneurs and other religious business operators known to have thousands of followers and adherents.

Citizens who disobeyed the moves were swiftly arrested and dragged to court to face full wrath of the law.

Taarifa had to contend with the new normal that emerged with the total lockdown by plying our trade from safe confines of our homes just like any other abiding citizens.

We watched from home as the pandemic spread its devastating economic effects all over the world. Economies lost billions of dollars and thousands of precious lives ended prematurely.

From China the origin of the scourge, global hot spots of the virus emerged virtually overnight. Powerful countries such as USA, Italy, Spain, France, Russia and Great Britain with all their muscles were wrestled down by the pandemic with sorry tales of death and destruction being broadcast every minute.

In East Africa, Rwanda’s neighbours such as Kenya and Tanzania continued reporting spikes of the pandemic. There are currently growing fears that Rwanda and Tanzania are likely to witness less than friendly relations as Tanzania’s case spirals out of control courtesy of its haphazard control measures.

Having effectively fought the spread of the virus, Rwanda relaxed its lockdown in last 10 days but was quick to put in place a 8PM-5AM curfew warning its citizens that the fight against the pandemic was not over.

By press time Rwanda had reported 286 confirmed cases with 153 patients having recovered so far while the balance of 133 are under treatment. There are no deaths from the virus in Rwanda.

A trader wearing a protective mask weighs grains at the Kimironko market as shoppers stock up on essential items /March 17th, 2020.

Counting the Cost

For a country that has comparatively very basic healthcare system and minimal technical and financial resources at the disposal of its leadership the results are but a huge success.

However, the cost benefit of this huge gain comes with a heavy toll on Rwanda’s economy.

Rwanda’s once thriving service sectors especially tourism that emerged in last 6 years as leading foreign exchange earners fetching over US$500 million annually, according to estimates is on its knees.

The rapid growth of its tourism speciality product of business, events, conferences and meetings otherwise known as MICE that has done well for last 3 years earning more than US$50 million annually and growing at over 30% annually is halted on its tracks.

Rwanda’s biggest MICE event in 2020 -the commonwealth conference (#Chogm 2020) previously scheduled to take place in June in Kigali, was cancelled in the wake of the fight last month.

The cancellation is a move that economically dampened the prospects of the reviving the rapidly deteriorating fortunes of the local tourism sector.

Cancellation of #Chogm2020 further confirmed the devastating effects of the fight on the ground with a loss estimated at more than U$20 million to sector operators in the last 3 months.

Investment into Rwanda; a key area of its transformation agenda that over last 10 years has risen to spectacular figures rising from less than U$250 million in 2010 to more than US$1.0 billion by 2020 is expected to decline to less than pre2010 figures by end of this year.

Finance and Economic planning (Minecofin) ministry says that there is very sharp decline in key indicators of the economy. VAT transactions seen as indicators of trade and service volumes in the economy fell by more than 45%.

External trade is taking a direct hit. Commodity prices especially minerals and agricultural sectors plummeted by 20% and 30% respectively.

Policy makers revised downwards growth prospects of the year 2020 considered Rwanda’s magic year from 7% to less than 3.5%.

This is likely to signify the contraction of its economy by more than 50% by mid-year 2020, further pointing to an adverse effect of fighting the pandemic as representing the biggest economic challenge to its policy makers since the 1994 genocide against Tutsi.

For the first time in more than 15 years following an impressive growth trajectory Rwanda was staring at a major economic recession.

In a bid to fight adverse effects of the # Covid-19 pandemic, government of Rwanda released a highly ambitious 2-year economic recovery plan as it gradually eased the lockdown.

As engines of Rwanda’s economy that had grounded for last 60 days started revving up, government announced a U$800 million stimulus package. The package is effectively a major financial injection into the economy amounting to an increment of about 4.4% of Rwanda’s GDP on average per year.

The cash will be channeled into priority sectors such as health, social protection, support to public enterprises, contributions to the economic recovery fund and related measures.

In addition, there are raft of fiscal measures that will see relaxing of tax burden to the business community and citizens as well as increased concessional public borrowing to plug gaps from the tax relief.

Protection of the financial system will remain a top priority with a wide range liquidity packages announced as part of the recovery plan meant to boost resilience of banking sector.

5 Comments

5 Comments

  1. jeanne

    May 13, 2020 at 10:06 pm

    It is all about good leadership of our country and discipline of its people
    May God continue to bless Rwanda.”Imana yirirwa ahandi igataha mu Rwanda”

  2. Rift Valley

    May 14, 2020 at 9:10 am

    It boils down to leadership

  3. Faustin

    May 14, 2020 at 1:13 pm

    Rwanda is the best in many.
    Our President Paul Kagame is Hero of African.
    And Rwanda’s people were standing together with United. So that is why coronavirus was stop quickly .
    We are all trust in God. God bless Africa. In Jesus is nam.

  4. Rwandan daughter

    May 15, 2020 at 3:48 am

    Blessed be the Lord, our precious leaders plus all Rwandan sisters and brothers.Together we will reach far

  5. ปั๊มไลค์

    June 6, 2020 at 5:07 am

    Like!! I blog frequently and I really thank you for your content. The article has truly peaked my interest.

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Business

Germany, Rwanda Sign Rwf90B Financing Agreement

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Finance Minister, Dr. Uzziel Ndagijimana, and the Germany Ambassador to Rwanda, Dr. Thomas Kurz, today signed two agreements worth € 78 million (Approximately Frw 90 billion).

The financing and technical cooperation agreement is the outcome of the Inter-Governmental Negotiations that were concluded last Year between our two respective Governments.

59 million Euros of the grant agreement will be provided through KFW Development Bank and will support various initiatives including technical and vocational training, promotion of export oriented SMEs, through the support to Export Credit Facility in Rwanda under BRD, promotion of green investments as well as ICT support.

The remaining Euros19 million will be channeled through GIZ and will support decentralization and good governance, prevention of sexual and gender based violence among others.

Speaking after the signing event, Minister Ndagijimana said the financial support extended to Rwanda will support key areas that are critical to the attainment of the country’s development objectives.

“This support comes at a critical juncture given the effects COVID-19 has had on our social –economic advancement. We look forward to boosting these important areas that are in line with our National Strategy for Transformation. We thank Germany for the strong cooperation and solidarity especially during the COVID-19 pandemic,“ Minister Ndagijimana said.

Ambassador Kurz stressed: “These Agreements underline the long-standing and proven cooperation between our two countries based on friendship and mutual trust. Germany is committed to support Rwanda in its Economic Recovery Process and the implementation of NST 1 in order to reach the SDGs and to leave no one behind.”

The Division of Labor allows Germany development cooperation programme to be active in Education (including TVET); Decentralization and Good Governance, Private Sector Development and Youth; Public Financial Management (PFM); Financial Development. Germany also supports Regional Projects: Centre of Excellence for Health, Improvement of the Investment Climate, Microfinance sector-MIFSSA, ICGLR and Energy.

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Business

Malawi Issues 86 Licenses For Cannabis Production

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Malawi’s Cannabis Regulatory Authority said on Friday they had issued 86 licenses to 35 companies and cooperatives to venture into cannabis cultivation for industrial hemp production.

Boniface Kadzamila the Board Chairman of Cannabis Regulatory Authority made the announcement from Lilongwe on Friday afternoon.

He said that a total of 41 companies applied but only 35 of them satisfied the requirements.

According to him the authority has issued licenses for cultivation, processing and storage and has not yet issued any license for export of cannabis.

A recent analysis by Invegrow Limited, one of the firms that conducted research on industrial hemp, found that a kilogram of industrial hemp could fetch U$1,444 on the market that there is potential for direct annual benefit for Malawians in excess of U$ 135,440,973 on 16.5 hectares or U$8,803,663 per five hectares.

The analysis further indicated that the crop has ready markets whose global value chain is worth U$9billion thus giving local Malawi investors a basis to take up cannabis production.

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Business

ex-Nakumatt CEO’s Home Auctioned

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Atul Shah, the former chief executive officer of the collapsed retail giant Nakumatt lost his home to auctioneers over a U$18,609,740 debt.

The auction follows the conclusion of a protracted court battle after the Kenyan High Court dismissed a petition seeking to overturn the forced sale of the high-end property by KCB Group.

Justice Francis Tuiyott dismissed the petition by the administrator of the collapsed Supermarket chain, saying it has no chance of success.

Nakumatt’s court-appointed administrator had opposed the sale on grounds that the auction failed to follow the law, and tagged Mr Shah as an interested party to suit.

The bank, through Leakey Auctioneers, early in the year quietly sold the property, which Mr Shah had used as additional security as Nakumatt’s guarantor to offer comfort to the multiple bank loans.

“This court is not persuaded that the suit, as currently presented, demonstrates a prima facie case with a probability of success. Being unable to surmount that hurdle, it is needless for this court to discuss other aspects raised in the application,” the judge said.

KCB had earlier sold Mr Shah’s prime property in Industrial Area, Nairobi, to Furniture Palace International Ltd for about U$9,677,064 court records show.

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